Question: Which war is Barack Obama winning?
Answer: A war of attrition on public opinion re: the war in Afghanistan.
ABC News reports that support for the war is at a new low in polling, 44%. As support for this "war of necessity" drops, this war that so many Democrats - including the President - supported so vociferously just a few short years ago (right up to November 4, 2008), it becomes easier for Mr. Obama to lose his heart, his nerve, his determination to fight the "good" war. He seems to be waiting for such a "popular" option. A cynic, and I may be among them, might opine that Mr. Obama and the other Democrats who were vocal proponents of fighting in Afghanistan were simply using it as a bludgeon to bash Mr. Bush over the head for Iraq. Either way, words mean something, and the unwillingness to stand by one's words also means something. And in this case it's not something good.
The President needs to do one of two things. He either needs to step up efforts to win in Afghanistan as Mr. Bush did in Iraq and as Mr. Obama said he would in March, per General McChrystal's recommendations. Or he needs to explain exactly why winning in Afghanistan is no longer vital as he said so often during his campaign and in March. But sitting on the sidelines waiting for public opinion to drop enough that a loss of will could be politically survived is not acceptable. And although public opinion might eventually sink to a point that fighting on in Afghanistan is seen as untenable, the people will still hold him responsible for losing a battle that he clearly said must be won.