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Jul 23, 2008

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I think there is something genuinely frightening to me when I realise how much of who people vote for is based on a created impression rather than actual data. It feels as if the ground shifts, and I am at the mercy of irrationality.

Of course, we have always been at the mercy of irrationality, in every country and century. We just don't like it when it peeks out its head.

It seems that for some candidates a mistake is just a mistake, whereas for others it's a sign of mental instability/irrationality/stupidity/venality/senility. It's pretty clear when you watch the press operate just what type of candidate gets which treatment.

The press has discovered that presidential contests for much of the population - enough to make a difference in any kind of really close election - comes down to a popularity contest. If they can make one candidate look ridiculous, as much a loser as possible, and therefore can create for the other an aura of inevitability and excitement, they can get, oh, 5-10% of the population to vote for that candidate. That's true even if the voter has little actual knowledge of the candidate's positions and how those positions will influence events going forward.

That the media is unafraid to be caught doing this is the scary thing.

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